Here are the latest seat projections, including new polls from Ekos, Ipsos, and Nanos. I’ve broken the projections down into “solid” (where the projected margin of victory is 10 points or greater) and “leaning” (less than 10 points).

NATIONAL
CPC – 136 seats (106 solid + 30 leaning) – 34.6% support
LPC – 93 seats (64 solid + 29 leaning) – 30.5% support
BQ – 44 seats (40 solid + 4 leaning) – 9.3% support
NDP – 35 seats (19 solid + 16 leaning) – 16.6% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 7.8% support

ONTARIO
LPC – 46 seats (34 solid + 12 leaning) – 37.6% support
CPC – 45 seats (34 solid + 11 leaning) – 36.8% support
NDP – 15 seats (8 solid + 7 leaning) – 16.2% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 8.5% support

QUEBEC
BQ – 44 seats (40 solid + 4 leaning) – 35.9% support
LPC – 19 seats (12 solid + 7 leaning) – 27.8% support
CPC – 11 seats (6 solid + 5 leaning) – 18.1% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 12.9% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 4.5% support

BRITISH COLUMBIA
CPC – 21 seats (14 solid + 7 leaning) – 39.6% support
NDP – 9 seats (6 solid + 3 leaning) – 24.0% support
LPC – 6 seats (3 solid + 3 leaning) – 21.3% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 13.5% support

ALBERTA
CPC – 27 seats (27 solid + 0 leaning) – 59.4% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 9.9% support
LPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 17.0% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 11.3% support

PRAIRIES
CPC – 22 seats (19 solid + 3 leaning) – 51.0% support
NDP – 4 seat (3 solid + 1 leaning) – 19.3% support
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 19.1% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 9.9% support

ATLANTIC CANADA
LPC – 18 seats (13 solid + 5 leaning) – 37.4% support
CPC – 10 seats (6 solid + 4 leaning) – 30.1% support
NDP – 4 seat (4 solid + 0 leaning) – 26.0% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 5.8% support

NORTH
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 33.5% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 23.4% support
CPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 31.7% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 10.7% support