As widely expected, the latest seat projections show a significant drop for the Conservatives, as Canadians register their displeasure over the government’s decision to prorogue Parliament. The current state of affairs looks much like the weak majority of 2006. Our current projections are:

NATIONAL
CPC – 129 (34.5%)
LPC – 102 (32.4%)
BQ – 45 (9.4%)
NDP – 32 (16.0%)
GPC – 0 (6.5%)

ONTARIO
LPC – 53 (39.5%)
CPC – 41 (37.7%)
NDP – 12 (13.8%)
GPC – 0 (8.1%)

QUEBEC
BQ – 45 (36.3%)
LPC – 21 (30.6%)
CPC – 9 (16.6%)
NDP – 0 (12.0%)
GPC – 0 (3.7%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
CPC – 19 (37.1%)
NDP – 10 (25.3%)
LPC – 7 (26.2%)
GPC – 0 (9.9%)

ALBERTA
CPC – 27 (60.3%)
NDP – 1 (9.0%)
LPC – 0 (15.3%)
GPC – 0 (13.0%)

PRAIRIES
CPC – 22 (51.8%)
NDP – 4 (21.4%)
LPC – 2 (19.1%)
GPC – 0 (7.0%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
LPC – 17 (35.7%)
CPC – 11 (33.2%)
NDP – 4 (25.6%)
GPC – 0 (4.7%)

NORTH
LPC – 2 (35.4%)
NDP – 1 (22.9%)
CPC – 0 (32.0%)
GPC – 0 (9.0%)