NATIONAL
Conservative – 134 seats (35.6%) - range: 122 to 154 seats (34.1% to 37.1%)
Liberal – 90 seats (30.2%) - range: 72 to 105 seats (28.7% to 31.7%)
Bloc Quebecois – 49 seats (9.8%) - range: 43 to 55 seats (8.3% to 11.3%)
NDP – 35 seats (16.5%) - range: 26 to 40 seats (15.0% to 18.0%)
Green – 0 seats (6.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (5.2% to 8.2%)

ONTARIO
Conservative – 49 seats (38.9%) - range: 46 to 57 seats (37.4% to 40.4%)
Liberal – 42 seats (34.9%) - range: 35 to 47 seats (33.4% to 36.4%)
NDP – 15 seats (16.5%) - range: 12 to 16 seats (15.0% to 18.0%)
Green – 0 seats (8.8%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.4% to 10.4%)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois – 49 seats (38.1%) - range: 43 to 54 seats (36.6% to 39.6%)
Conservative – 9 seats (17.5%) - range: 7 to 11 seats (16.0% to 19.0%)
Liberal – 16 seats (26.0%) - range: 12 to 20 seats (24.5% to 27.5%)
NDP – 1 seat (13.6%) - range: 1 to 2 seats (12.1% to 15.1%)
Green – 0 seats (4.0%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (2.5% to 5.5%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Conservative – 21 seats (41.2%) - range: 19 to 23 seats (39.7% to 42.7%)
Liberal – 6 seats (22.5%) - range: 5 to 7 seats (21.0% to 24.0%)
NDP – 9 seats (25.3%) - range: 7 to 11 seats (23.8% to 26.8%)
Green – 0 seats (9.5%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.0% to 11.0%)

ALBERTA
Conservative – 27 seats (62.7%) - range: 27 to 28 seats (61.5% to 64.5%)
Liberal – 0 seats (15.2%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (13.7% to 16.7%)
NDP – 1 seat (8.3%) - range: 0 to 1 seats (6.8% to 9.8%)
Green – 0 seats (11.4%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (9.9% to 12.9%)

PRAIRIES
Conservative – 21 seats (48.4%) - range: 18 to 23 seats (46.9% to 49.9%)
Liberal – 3 seats (28.1%) - range: 2 to 5 seats (26.6% to 29.6%)
NDP – 4 seats (16.9%) - range: 3 to 5 seats (15.4% to 18.4%)
Green – 0 seats (5.8%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (4.3% to 7.3%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
Conservative – 7 seats (31.1%) - range: 6 to 10 seats (29.6% to 32.6%)
Liberal – 21 seats (43.8%) - range: 18 to 24 seats (42.3% to 45.3%)
NDP – 4 seats (20.6%) - range: 3 to 4 seats (19.1% to 22.1%)
Green – 0 seats (3.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (2.2% to 5.2%)

NORTH
Conservative – 0 seat (32.9%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (31.4% to 34.4%)
Liberal – 2 seat (33.4%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (31.9% to 34.9%)
NDP – 1 seat (23.4%) - range: 0 to 1 seats (21.9% to 24.9%)
Green – 0 seats (9.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.2% to 11.2%)

NATIONAL
Conservative – 142 seats (36.6%) - range: 124 to 162 seats (35.1% to 38.1%)
Liberal – 77 seats (28.7%) - range: 63 to 100 seats (27.2% to 30.2%)
Bloc Quebecois – 52 seats (10.4%) - range: 43 to 55 seats (8.9% to 11.9%)
NDP – 37 seats (17.0%) - range: 28 to 42 seats (15.5% to 18.5%)
Green – 0 seats (6.2%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (4.7% to 7.7%)

ONTARIO
Conservative – 53 seats (40.0%) - range: 46 to 61 seats (38.5% to 41.5%)
Liberal – 38 seats (34.0%) - range: 31 to 47 seats (32.5% to 35.5%)
NDP – 15 seats (17.1%) - range: 12 to 16 seats (15.6% to 18.6%)
Green – 0 seats (8.0%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (6.5% to 9.5%)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois – 52 seats (40.3%) - range: 43 to 55 seats (38.8% to 41.8%)
Conservative – 8 seats (17.3%) - range: 6 to 11 seats (15.8% to 18.8%)
Liberal – 14 seats (25.5%) - range: 12 to 20 seats (24.0% to 27.0%)
NDP – 1 seat (13.2%) - range: 1 to 2 seats (11.7% to 14.7%)
Green – 0 seats (2.9%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (1.4% to 4.4%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Conservative – 20 seats (39.9%) - range: 18 to 24 seats (38.4% to 41.4%)
Liberal – 5 seats (19.2%) - range: 3 to 6 seats (17.7% to 20.7%)
NDP – 11 seats (28.5%) - range: 9 to 12 seats (27.0% to 30.0%)
Green – 0 seats (10.8%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (9.3% to 12.3%)

ALBERTA
Conservative – 27 seats (63.7%) - range: 27 to 28 seats (62.2% to 65.2%)
Liberal – 0 seats (16.2%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (14.7% to 17.7%)
NDP – 1 seat (9.0%) - range: 0 to 1 seats (7.5% to 10.5%)
Green – 0 seats (8.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.2% to 10.2%)

PRAIRIES
Conservative – 22 seats (48.8%) - range: 20 to 23 seats (47.3% to 50.3%)
Liberal – 2 seats (23.2%) - range: 2 to 3 seats (21.7% to 24.7%)
NDP – 4 seats (17.5%) - range: 3 to 5 seats (16.0% to 19.0%)
Green – 0 seats (9.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.2% to 11.2%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
Conservative – 11 seats (35.4%) - range: 7 to 13 seats (33.9% to 36.9%)
Liberal – 17 seats (40.7%) - range: 15 to 22 seats (39.2% to 42.2%)
NDP – 4 seats (19.2%) - range: 3 to 4 seats (17.7% to 20.7%)
Green – 0 seats (3.9%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (2.4% to 5.4%)

NORTH
Conservative – 1 seat (34.0%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (32.5% to 35.5%)
Liberal – 1 seat (32.1%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (30.6% to 33.6%)
NDP – 1 seat (24.0%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (22.5% to 25.5%)
Green – 0 seats (9.2%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.7% to 10.7%)

NATIONAL
Conservative – 144 seats (37.0%) - range: 129 to 158 seats (35.5% to 38.5%)
Liberal – 78 seats (28.3%) - range: 69 to 99 seats (26.8% to 29.8%)
Bloc Quebecois – 50 seats (9.8%) - range: 43 to 53 seats (8.3% to 11.3%)
NDP – 36 seats (16.7%) - range: 25 to 41 seats (15.2% to 18.2%)
Green – 0 seats (7.0%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (5.5% to 8.5%)

ONTARIO
Conservative – 50 seats (39.5%) - range: 45 to 55 seats (38.0% to 41.0%)
Liberal – 40 seats (34.2%) - range: 36 to 49 seats (32.7% to 35.7%)
NDP – 16 seats (16.7%) - range: 11 to 17 seats (15.2% to 18.2%)
Green – 0 seats (8.8%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.3% to 10.3%)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois – 50 seats (39.1%) - range: 43 to 53 seats (37.6% to 40.6%)
Conservative – 9 seats (17.7%) - range: 7 to 11 seats (16.2% to 19.2%)
Liberal – 15 seats (25.2%) - range: 13 to 21 seats (23.7% to 26.7%)
NDP – 1 seat (13.6%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (12.1% to 15.1%)
Green – 0 seats (3.6%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (2.1% to 5.1%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Conservative – 24 seats (44.0%) - range: 20 to 27 seats (42.5% to 45.5%)
Liberal – 3 seats (17.0%) - range: 2 to 5 seats (15.5% to 18.5%)
NDP – 9 seats (25.9%) - range: 7 to 11 seats (24.5% to 27.5%)
Green – 0 seats (11.5%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (10.0% to 13.0%)

ALBERTA
Conservative – 27 seats (62.4%) - range: 27 to 28 seats (60.9% to 63.9%)
Liberal – 0 seats (14.9%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (13.4% to 16.4%)
NDP – 1 seat (10.7%) - range: 0 to 1 seats (9.2% to 12.2%)
Green – 0 seats (9.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.2% to 11.2%)

PRAIRIES
Conservative – 22 seats (50.8%) - range: 22 to 23 seats (49.3% to 52.3%)
Liberal – 2 seats (20.2%) - range: 2 to 2 seats (18.7% to 21.7%)
NDP – 4 seats (19.1%) - range: 3 to 4 seats (17.6% to 20.6%)
Green – 0 seats (9.1%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.6% to 10.6%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
Conservative – 11 seats (34.7%) - range: 8 to 12 seats (33.2% to 36.2%)
Liberal – 17 seats (38.2%) - range: 16 to 20 seats (36.7% to 39.7%)
NDP – 4 seats (22.6%) - range: 4 to 4 seats (21.1% to 24.1%)
Green – 0 seats (3.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (2.2% to 5.2%)

NORTH
Conservative – 1 seat (34.2%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (32.7% to 35.7%)
Liberal – 1 seat (31.5%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (30.0% to 33.0%)
NDP – 1 seat (23.6%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (22.1% to 25.1%)
Green – 0 seats (10.0%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.5% to 11.5%)

NATIONAL
Conservative – 146 seats (37.5%) - range: 125 to 157 seats (36.0% to 39.0%)
Liberal – 80 seats (29.0%) - range: 70 to 103 seats (27.5% to 30.5%)
Bloc Quebecois – 47 seats (9.9%) - range: 43 to 53 seats (8.4% to 11.4%)
NDP – 35 seats (16.0%) - range: 24 to 42 seats (14.5% to 17.5%)
Green – 0 seats (6.4%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (4.9% to 7.9%)

ONTARIO
Conservative – 53 seats (39.9%) - range: 45 to 55 seats (38.4% to 41.4%)
Liberal – 38 seats (34.5%) - range: 36 to 49 seats (33.0% to 36.0%)
NDP – 15 seats (15.9%) - range: 11 to 17 seats (14.4% to 17.4%)
Green – 0 seats (8.8%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.3% to 10.3%)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois – 47 seats (38.2%) - range: 43 to 53 seats (36.7% to 39.7%)
Conservative – 11 seats (19.1%) - range: 7 to 11 seats (17.6% to 20.6%)
Liberal – 16 seats (25.9%) - range: 13 to 21 seats (24.4% to 27.4%)
NDP – 1 seat (13.6%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (12.1% to 15.1%)
Green – 0 seats (2.5%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (1.0% to 4.0%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Conservative – 22 seats (43.0%) - range: 19 to 26 seats (41.5% to 44.5%)
Liberal – 5 seats (19.9%) - range: 3 to 7 seats (18.4% to 21.4%)
NDP – 9 seats (25.9%) - range: 6 to 11 seats (24.5% to 27.5%)
Green – 0 seats (9.6%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.1% to 11.1%)

ALBERTA
Conservative – 27 seats (61.8%) - range: 27 to 28 seats (60.3% to 63.3%)
Liberal – 0 seats (15.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (14.2% to 17.2%)
NDP – 1 seat (10.0%) - range: 0 to 1 seats (8.5% to 11.5%)
Green – 0 seats (10.1%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.6% to 11.6%)

PRAIRIES
Conservative – 22 seats (50.0%) - range: 20 to 23 seats (48.5% to 51.5%)
Liberal – 2 seats (21.5%) - range: 2 to 3 seats (20.0% to 23.0%)
NDP – 4 seats (20.7%) - range: 3 to 5 seats (19.2% to 22.2%)
Green – 0 seats (7.1%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (5.6% to 8.6%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
Conservative – 10 seats (33.9%) - range: 7 to 12 seats (32.4% to 35.4%)
Liberal – 18 seats (40.3%) - range: 16 to 21 seats (38.8% to 41.8%)
NDP – 4 seats (22.3%) - range: 4 to 4 seats (20.8% to 23.8%)
Green – 0 seats (2.8%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (1.3% to 4.3%)

NORTH
Conservative – 1 seat (34.8%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (32.3% to 35.3%)
Liberal – 1 seat (32.2%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (30.7% to 33.7%)
NDP – 1 seat (22.9%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (21.4% to 24.4%)
Green – 0 seats (9.4%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.9% to 10.9%)

NATIONAL
Conservative – 137 seats (35.6%) - range: 116 to 153 seats (34.1% to 37.1%)
Liberal – 84 seats (28.9%) - range: 71 to 112 seats (27.4% to 30.4%)
Bloc Quebecois – 48 seats (10.2%) - range: 42 to 53 seats (8.7% to 11.7%)
NDP – 39 seats (17.5%) - range: 26 to 46 seats (16.0% to 19.0%)
Green – 0 seats (6.6%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (5.1% to 8.1%)

ONTARIO
Conservative – 46 seats (37.1%) - range: 37 to 53 seats (35.6% to 38.6%)
Liberal – 44 seats (36.7%) - range: 38 to 57 seats (35.2% to 38.2%)
NDP – 16 seats (17.0%) - range: 11 to 18 seats (15.5% to 18.5%)
Green – 0 seats (8.3%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (6.8% to 9.8%)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois – 48 seats (38.4%) - range: 41 to 53 seats (36.9% to 39.9%)
Conservative – 11 seats (18.1%) - range: 7 to 11 seats (16.6% to 19.6%)
Liberal – 15 seats (24.8%) - range: 13 to 23 seats (23.3% to 26.3%)
NDP – 1 seat (14.1%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (12.6% to 15.6%)
Green – 0 seats (3.8%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (2.3% to 5.3%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Conservative – 20 seats (40.7%) - range: 18 to 23 seats (39.2% to 42.2%)
Liberal – 5 seats (20.4%) - range: 4 to 7 seats (18.9% to 21.9%)
NDP – 11 seats (28.5%) - range: 8 to 12 seats (27.0% to 30.0%)
Green – 0 seats (8.9%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.4% to 10.4%)

ALBERTA
Conservative – 27 seats (64.1%) - range: 27 to 28 seats (62.6% to 65.6%)
Liberal – 0 seats (12.3%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (10.8% to 13.8%)
NDP – 1 seat (10.9%) - range: 0 to 1 seats (9.4% to 12.4%)
Green – 0 seats (10.3%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.8% to 11.8%)

PRAIRIES
Conservative – 21 seats (47.4%) - range: 20 to 23 seats (45.9% to 48.9%)
Liberal – 2 seats (21.3%) - range: 2 to 3 seats (19.8% to 22.8%)
NDP – 5 seats (23.1%) - range: 3 to 5 seats (21.6% to 24.6%)
Green – 0 seats (7.4%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (5.9% to 8.9%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
Conservative – 11 seats (35.5%) - range: 7 to 13 seats (34.0% to 37.0%)
Liberal – 17 seats (38.4%) - range: 14 to 20 seats (36.9% to 39.9%)
NDP – 4 seats (21.7%) - range: 4 to 6 seats (20.2% to 23.2%)
Green – 0 seats (3.6%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (2.1% to 5.1%)

NORTH
Conservative – 1 seat (33.0%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (31.5% to 34.5%)
Liberal – 1 seat (32.2%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (30.7% to 33.7%)
NDP – 1 seat (24.5%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (23.0% to 26.0%)
Green – 0 seats (9.6%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.1% to 11.1%)

NATIONAL
Conservative – 135 seats (34.6%) - range: 115 to 152 seats (33.1% to 36.1%)
Liberal – 91 seats (30.0%) - range: 73 to 112 seats (28.5% to 31.5%)
Bloc Quebecois – 45 seats (9.5%) - range: 41 to 53 seats (8.0% to 11.0%)
NDP – 37 seats (17.4%) - range: 26 to 46 seats (15.9% to 18.9%)
Green – 0 seats (7.3%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (5.8% to 8.8%)

ONTARIO
Conservative – 45 seats (36.6%) - range: 36 to 53 seats (35.1% to 38.1%)
Liberal – 46 seats (37.6%) - range: 38 to 57 seats (36.1% to 39.1%)
NDP – 15 seats (16.7%) - range: 11 to 18 seats (15.2% to 18.2%)
Green – 0 seats (8.2%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (6.7% to 9.7%)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois – 45 seats (37.1%) - range: 41 to 53 seats (35.6% to 38.6%)
Conservative – 11 seats (17.3%) - range: 7 to 11 seats (15.8% to 18.8%)
Liberal – 18 seats (26.1%) - range: 13 to 23 seats (24.6% to 27.6%)
NDP – 1 seats (13.4%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (11.9% to 14.9%)
Green – 0 seats (5.2%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (3.7% to 6.7%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
Conservative – 19 seats (39.1%) - range: 18 to 22 seats (37.6% to 40.6%)
Liberal – 6 seats (21.1%) - range: 5 to 7 seats (19.6% to 22.6%)
NDP – 11 seats (27.7%) - range: 8 to 12 seats (26.2% to 29.2%)
Green – 0 seats (10.6%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (9.1% to 12.1%)

ALBERTA
Conservative – 27 seats (62.6%) - range: 27 to 28 seats (61.1% to 64.1%)
Liberal – 0 seats (13.6%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (12.1% to 15.1%)
NDP – 1 seats (9.5%) - range: 0 to 1 seats (8.0% to 11.0%)
Green – 0 seats (11.9%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (10.4% to 13.4%)

PRAIRIES
Conservative – 22 seats (48.2%) - range: 20 to 23 seats (46.7% to 49.7%)
Liberal – 2 seats (20.8%) - range: 2 to 3 seats (19.3% to 22.3%)
NDP – 4 seats (21.4%) - range: 3 to 5 seats (19.9% to 22.9%)
Green – 0 seats (8.9%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (7.4% to 10.4%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
Conservative – 11 seats (32.6%) - range: 7 to 13 seats (31.1% to 34.1%)
Liberal – 17 seats (36.2%) - range: 14 to 20 seats (34.7% to 37.7%)
NDP – 4 seats (24.7%) - range: 4 to 6 seats (23.2% to 26.2%)
Green – 0 seats (5.7%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (4.2% to 7.2%)

NORTH
Conservative – 0 seats (31.8%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (30.3% to 33.3%)
Liberal – 2 seats (33.2%) - range: 1 to 2 seats (31.7% to 34.7%)
NDP – 1 seats (24.2%) - range: 0 to 2 seats (22.7% to 25.7%)
Green – 0 seats (10.3%) - range: 0 to 0 seats (8.8% to 11.8%)

See http://democraticSPACE.com/canada2009/ for full details.

Here are the latest seat projections, including new polls from Ekos, Ipsos, and Nanos. I’ve broken the projections down into “solid” (where the projected margin of victory is 10 points or greater) and “leaning” (less than 10 points).

NATIONAL
CPC – 136 seats (106 solid + 30 leaning) – 34.6% support
LPC – 93 seats (64 solid + 29 leaning) – 30.5% support
BQ – 44 seats (40 solid + 4 leaning) – 9.3% support
NDP – 35 seats (19 solid + 16 leaning) – 16.6% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 7.8% support

ONTARIO
LPC – 46 seats (34 solid + 12 leaning) – 37.6% support
CPC – 45 seats (34 solid + 11 leaning) – 36.8% support
NDP – 15 seats (8 solid + 7 leaning) – 16.2% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 8.5% support

QUEBEC
BQ – 44 seats (40 solid + 4 leaning) – 35.9% support
LPC – 19 seats (12 solid + 7 leaning) – 27.8% support
CPC – 11 seats (6 solid + 5 leaning) – 18.1% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 12.9% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 4.5% support

BRITISH COLUMBIA
CPC – 21 seats (14 solid + 7 leaning) – 39.6% support
NDP – 9 seats (6 solid + 3 leaning) – 24.0% support
LPC – 6 seats (3 solid + 3 leaning) – 21.3% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 13.5% support

ALBERTA
CPC – 27 seats (27 solid + 0 leaning) – 59.4% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 9.9% support
LPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 17.0% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 11.3% support

PRAIRIES
CPC – 22 seats (19 solid + 3 leaning) – 51.0% support
NDP – 4 seat (3 solid + 1 leaning) – 19.3% support
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 19.1% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 9.9% support

ATLANTIC CANADA
LPC – 18 seats (13 solid + 5 leaning) – 37.4% support
CPC – 10 seats (6 solid + 4 leaning) – 30.1% support
NDP – 4 seat (4 solid + 0 leaning) – 26.0% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 5.8% support

NORTH
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 33.5% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 23.4% support
CPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 31.7% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 10.7% support

Here are the latest seat projections, including a couple of new polls this week from Ekos and Harris/Decima. I’ve broken the projections down into “solid” (where the projected margin of victory is 10 points or greater) and “leaning” (less than 10 points).

NATIONAL
CPC – 135 seats (106 solid + 29 leaning) – 34.4% support
LPC – 94 seats (64 solid + 30 leaning) – 30.2% support
BQ – 45 seats (40 solid + 5 leaning) – 9.1% support
NDP – 34 seats (19 solid + 15 leaning) – 16.2% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 7.9% support

ONTARIO
LPC – 47 seats (34 solid + 13 leaning) – 37.9% support
CPC – 45 seats (34 solid + 11 leaning) – 36.8% support
NDP – 14 seats (8 solid + 6 leaning) – 15.4% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 9.1% support

QUEBEC
BQ – 45 seats (40 solid + 5 leaning) – 36.7% support
LPC – 20 seats (12 solid + 8 leaning) – 28.3% support
CPC – 9 seats (6 solid + 3 leaning) – 17.6% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 12.1% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 4.5% support

BRITISH COLUMBIA
CPC – 21 seats (14 solid + 7 leaning) – 39.2% support
NDP – 9 seats (6 solid + 3 leaning) – 23.9% support
LPC – 6 seats (3 solid + 3 leaning) – 23.0% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 12.3% support

ALBERTA
CPC – 27 seats (27 solid + 0 leaning) – 56.8% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 9.6% support
LPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 18.8% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 12.5% support

PRAIRIES
CPC – 22 seats (19 solid + 3 leaning) – 51.6% support
NDP – 4 seat (3 solid + 1 leaning) – 18.7% support
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 19.8% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 9.2% support

ATLANTIC CANADA
LPC – 17 seats (13 solid + 4 leaning) – 36.8% support
CPC – 11 seats (6 solid + 5 leaning) – 32.5% support
NDP – 4 seat (4 solid + 0 leaning) – 24.0% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 6.0% support

NORTH
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 34.0% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 23.1% support
CPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 31.5% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 10.8% support

Here are the latest seat projections, including a couple of new polls this week from Ekos and Environics. I’ve broken the projections down into “solid” (where the projected margin of victory is 10 points or greater) and “leaning” (less than 10 points). There are 81 seats currently in play, a bit more than 1/4 of the seats.

NATIONAL
CPC – 133 seats (104 solid + 29 leaning) – 34.7% support
LPC – 95 seats (64 solid + 31 leaning) – 31.5% support
BQ – 44 seats (39 solid + 5 leaning) – 9.2% support
NDP – 36 seats (19 solid + 17 leaning) – 15.8% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 7.5% support

ONTARIO
LPC – 47 seats (34 solid + 13 leaning) – 38.2% support
CPC – 45 seats (34 solid + 11 leaning) – 37.5% support
NDP – 14 seats (6 solid + 8 leaning) – 14.1% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 9.3% support

QUEBEC
BQ – 44 seats (39 solid + 5 leaning) – 35.7% support
LPC – 20 seats (12 solid + 8 leaning) – 29.3% support
CPC – 10 seats (6 solid + 4 leaning) – 17.1% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 11.7% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 5.4% support

BRITISH COLUMBIA
CPC – 19 seats (13 solid + 6 leaning) – 38.5% support
NDP – 11 seats (6 solid + 5 leaning) – 26.0% support
LPC – 6 seats (3 solid + 3 leaning) – 22.9% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 11.1% support

ALBERTA
CPC – 27 seats (27 solid + 0 leaning) – 59.9% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 9.7% support
LPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 16.6% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 11.5% support

PRAIRIES
CPC – 22 seats (19 solid + 3 leaning) – 50.0% support
NDP – 4 seat (3 solid + 1 leaning) – 22.4% support
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 20.5% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 6.4% support

ATLANTIC CANADA
LPC – 18 seats (13 solid + 5 leaning) – 37.8% support
CPC – 10 seats (5 solid + 5 leaning) – 32.0% support
NDP – 4 seat (4 solid + 0 leaning) – 23.7% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 5.7% support

NORTH
LPC – 2 seats (1 solid + 1 leaning) – 34.5% support
NDP – 1 seat (0 solid + 1 leaning) – 22.6% support
CPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 31.9% support
GPC – 0 seats (0 solid + 0 leaning) – 10.3% support

Latest seat projections show the Conservatives with a 133-99 seat advantage over the Liberals, including new polls this week by Harris-Decima and Ekos. See results below…

NATIONAL
CPC – 133 (34.6%)
LPC – 99 (32.5%)
BQ – 45 (9.1%)
NDP – 31 (15.5%)
GPC – 0 (7.1%)

ONTARIO
LPC – 49 (38.9%)
CPC – 45 (37.7%)
NDP – 12 (13.4%)
GPC – 0 (9.1%)

QUEBEC
BQ – 45 (35.6%)
LPC – 21 (30.5%)
CPC – 9 (16.8%)
NDP – 0 (11.3%)
GPC – 0 (5.1%)

BRITISH COLUMBIA
CPC – 19 (37.4%)
NDP – 10 (25.5%)
LPC – 7 (25.2%)
GPC – 0 (10.3%)

ALBERTA
CPC – 28 (62.0%)
LPC – 0 (16.9%)
GPC – 0 (10.4%)
NDP – 0 (8.3%)

PRAIRIES
CPC – 22 (49.1%)
NDP – 4 (21.1%)
LPC – 2 (22.6%)
GPC – 0 (6.5%)

ATLANTIC CANADA
LPC – 18 (38.8%)
CPC – 10 (31.8%)
NDP – 4 (22.9%)
GPC – 0 (5.7%)

NORTH
LPC – 2 (35.5%)
NDP – 1 (22.3%)
CPC – 0 (31.9%)
GPC – 0 (9.6%)