2008 CANADA ELECTION

14 October 2008

SEAT PROJECTIONS & RIDING DISCUSSION -- SELECT PROVINCE/TERRITORY OR RIDING

SASKATOON-ROSETOWN-BIGGAR

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2008 CANDIDATES

KELLY
BLOCK
ROY
BLUEHORN
NETTIE
WIEBE
AMBER
JONES
MARCEL LEON BOURASSA KEVIN STRICKER
RICK
BARSKY

SASKATOON-ROSETOWN-BIGGAR
2006 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Carol Skelton 13331 45.54%
Nettie Wiebe 11412 38.98%
Myron Luczka 3536 12.08%
Rick Barsky 738 2.52%
Marcel Bourassa 258 0.88%

SASKATOON-ROSETOWN-BIGGAR
2004 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Carol Skelton 11875 44.84%
Dennis Gruending 9597 36.24%
Myron Luczka 4171 15.75%
Rick Barsky 841 3.18%

SASKATCHEWAN ARTICLES
Saskatchewan Ridings: E-Day Predictions (Posted 16 months ago)
Le bilinguisme canadien : deux poids, deux mesures, selon Duceppe (Posted 16 months ago)
Saskatchewan Poll Smoking (Posted 16 months ago)
Assiniboia All Candidates Forum Falls Through (Posted 16 months ago)
“No, you cannot” (Posted 16 months ago)
Sask Ridings: Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar, Revisited (Posted 16 months ago)
Palliser Update (Posted 16 months ago)
Le NPD comme opposition officielle? (Posted 16 months ago)
Strategic Voting? (Posted 16 months ago)
The race in Wascana (Posted 17 months ago)
Riding Update: Blackstrap (Posted 17 months ago)
Handicapping the Saskatchewan Seats: Pt 3 of 3 (Posted 17 months ago)
Gerry Ritz, Saskatchewan’s federal voting trends, and the future (Posted 17 months ago)
Handicapping the Saskatchewan Seats: Pt 2 of 3 (Posted 17 months ago)
Yet another missed opportunity for Saskatchewan voters (Posted 17 months ago)
Handicapping the Saskatchewan Seats: Pt 1 of 3 (Posted 17 months ago)
Race Wide Open in Saskatoon-Biggar-Rosetown (Posted 17 months ago)
Palliser Wide Open (Posted 17 months ago)
NDP Pizza in Regina (Posted 17 months ago)
Overview of Saskatchewan (Posted 17 months ago)
Goodale in Trouble? (Posted 17 months ago)

5 Responses for "SASKATOON-ROSETOWN-BIGGAR"

  1. Nick J Boragina September 14th, 2008 at 4:02 am 1

    I’m not so sure about putting this solid NDP just yet. While this is their best prospect in the province, the poll numbers just have not solidified for them yet.

  2. Tanya Derbowka (Non-Partisan) September 14th, 2008 at 12:16 pm 2

    I would have to say that I agree with that assessment. But Nettie Wiebe is well-liked in this riding and she just might be able to pull it off. It was pretty close in the last election.

  3. Sean Shaw (NDP) September 14th, 2008 at 4:19 pm 3

    It will all come down to the urban vote. In 2006 the turnout was well below 50%. The urban vote will go NDP by a wide margin, but the question is can the campaign pull that vote out on Eday?

  4. Eric M. October 12th, 2008 at 9:14 pm 4

    The only way Nettie can win in SRB is if there is low voter turnout in the Rural part of the riding.



    To think that staunch Carol Skelton supporters would consider switching their vote to Nettie, outside of Delisle is far fetched at best.



    Kelly Block is no Carol Skelton, correct.
But the reality is that if those residents who were former Skelton supporters come out and vote, they will inevitably vote for Kelly.



    Nettie needs to hope that over 2000 of those people are now a little apathetic toward this election, and don’t feel compelled to engage in supporting Kelly Block.

    That’s the only way Kelly Block will lose.



    Nettie had a great shot last election, and came up short. The Liberals ran a paper candidate, and still received over 12% of the vote. 



    I have a hard time understanding where Nettie expects to bleed votes from? Her support hit the ceiling in ‘06.



    The strategic voting debate in SRB is really a mut point.
Because it’s Kelly’s to lose, and hopefully Harper’s campaign strategy this year will cost them.


    I do agree with Sean, as we’ve discussed, that it will be up to Nettie’s campaign team to GOTV to secure her base.

    Total voter turnout is expected to be lower than the previous election, there is quite a bit of apathy to this election in general, and this riding has a history of low voter turnout in the urban portion.

    Why would people be so suddenly inspired to vote at all, let alone for Nettie this time, in this election?

    If that’s the only way Nettie can win, I’ll bet against it 100% of the time.

    Getting out new voters in an election most voters aren’t even engaged in sounds like it would take a few genies and a lot of prayer.

  5. Bryan-Edward Taylor October 12th, 2008 at 9:35 pm 5

    This riding will probably be close, but I still say that Kelly Block will prevail here.

    I’ve met her. She’s nice, pleasent, and very open to talk to. People who generally meet her tend to like her almost imediately.

    Now that’s the kind of MP people need.


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