2008 CANADA ELECTION

14 October 2008

SEAT PROJECTIONS & RIDING DISCUSSION -- SELECT PROVINCE/TERRITORY OR RIDING

NICKEL BELT

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2008 CANDIDATES

IAN McCRACKEN LOUISE PORTELANCE CLAUDE GRAVELLE FREDERICK TWILLEY STEVE RUTCHINSKI YVES VILLENEUVE

NICKEL BELT
2006 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Raymond Bonin 19775 43.31%
Claude Gravelle 17668 38.7%
Margaret Schwartzentruber 5732 12.55%
Mathieu Péron 1044 2.29%
Mark McAllister 975 2.14%
Michel D. Ethier 421 0.92%
Steve Rutchinski 42 0.09%

NICKEL BELT
2004 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Raymond Bonin LPC 17188 42.41%
Claude Gravelle NDP 13980 34.47%
Mike Dupont CPC 7628 18.79%
Steve Lafleur 1031 2.54%
Michel D. Ethier 430 1.06%
Don Lavallee 217 0.54%
Steve Rutchinski 51 0.12%

NORTHERN ONTARIO ARTICLES
Northeastern Ontario Predictions (Posted 17 months ago)
A day away from politics (Posted 17 months ago)
Nipissing—Timiskaming Electors to get Two More Looks at the Candidates (Posted 17 months ago)
Tony Martin and the Care Bear advantage (Posted 17 months ago)
Nickel Belt Roundup (Posted 17 months ago)
All-Candidates’ Debate in Nipissing—Timiskaming (Posted 18 months ago)
Democracy is slipping away (Posted 18 months ago)
Conservatives vs NDP in Sault Ste. Marie (Posted 18 months ago)
Nipissing—Timiskaming Roundup (Posted 18 months ago)
Dr. Seuss reports on the Leaders Debate (Posted 18 months ago)
Sault Ste. Marie – NDP leading (Posted 18 months ago)
Liberals bring back beer and popcorn (Posted 18 months ago)

5 Responses for "NICKEL BELT"

  1. Nick J Boragina September 14th, 2008 at 4:12 am 1

    Unfortunately for the NDP, they have seen slightly lower poll numbers this time then what they got last time. The liberals meanwhile consistently are able to beat pollsters expectations in Ontario due to the phenomenon of undecideds in Ontario voting mostly Liberal. This has been commented on in past elections with the false assumption that undecideds across the country do so, but my research shows that it’s only really in Ontario, and to a lesser extent in Quebec, that this actually happens. This can give the Liberals as much as a 5 point gain on election day. When you factor that in, you see that ridings like this one are not as vulnerable as thought.

  2. Pete Vere (Non-Partisan) September 17th, 2008 at 2:58 am 2

    I’m not sure. Nationally, the NDP are gaining while the Liberals are losing. The other issue is that Bonin was personally popular among many Conservatives in the Nickel Belt, who rallied to save him last time around. I’m not sure Portelance carries the same cross-over appeal.

  3. Mike September 18th, 2008 at 8:57 am 3

    It will be interesting to see just how much the national advertising frenzy by all the parties rubs off on this riding. A real opportunity for issues to be heard and decisions made based on that. You have to think that with the retirees alone the income splitting must have some appeal.

  4. Leo Bisson September 25th, 2008 at 12:33 pm 4

    I would love to see Green everywhere but Nickel Belt will be only hundreds apart.
    This would be between the Liberals and NDP.
    Therefore, if Nickel Belt wont go to Green than I hope NDP.

  5. Peter M October 9th, 2008 at 11:06 am 5

    I’ve spent a fair bit of time in this riding over the last few weeks (over the last couple of years, as well), and have been surprised by how spotty the Liberal campaign appears, even compared to their losing effort in the 2007 provincial election. I’ve heard the same from residents of the southern part of the riding.

    Based on the private property sign war (signs on public property mean nothing) Gravelle is crushing the opposition. I caught a news media report of an all-candidates debate that said Ms. Portelance performed very poorly.

    Sure looks like an NDP win.


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