2008 CANADA ELECTION

14 October 2008

SEAT PROJECTIONS & RIDING DISCUSSION -- SELECT PROVINCE/TERRITORY OR RIDING

Defense Articles

After giving 50 billion dollars in corporate tax cuts. Conservatives and liberals let us spend 18 billion on a war that a majority of Canadians do not want to fight.

Who said there was no money for social justice and middle class families ? It seems there’s plenty of it, it just depends on your priorities.

As I wrote when the news of the afghan mission cost came out in the middle of September, the numbers will come out and give munitions to the only pacifist party in Canada, Jack Layton’s NDP. Kevin Page’s report says the Canadian afghan war machine could reach 18 billion dollars. But he also noted he could not have access to all the numbers. The conservatives hide some numbers and so have the liberals in the past. There is a major lack of transparency on those numbers, told Layton.

Media helping Dion to grasp the leftist votes

The media are backing a Dion-Harper duel as it serves them well since both are friends with corporations and establishment and they won’t try and push for real change. On the other hand, they’re scared of Layton who wants to bully the banks so that they stop taking advantage of working families and low income Canadians. Every election is the same, the media toss aside the left when the final round comes.

The liberals are only progressive during election time. Don’t waste your left vote on them, you will just carry on the same old right wing economic ideas that lead us to recession. It’s time for change. Only the NDP will benefit a majority of Canadians, the major parties favour the high income minorities.

As the New Democratic Candidate in Scarborough—Agincourt, I’ve just finished seven debates and many more interviews.

After speaking with thousands of residents, I keep hearing three topics come up as the top concerns here:

Repealing regressive immigration reform (Bill C-50)

Scarborough—Agincourt has one of the largest immigrant populations in all of Canada. Residents have been bringing up Bill C-50 at every debate I’ve attended. It was a very regressive piece of immigration legislation brought in by the Conservatives that the Liberals let pass. The NDP was the only federal party that stood up and united against it. Constituents here are very upset with this bill because it gives arbitrary powers to the immigration minister to pick and choose who goes up and off the waiting list based on his or her own biases, often favouring temporary workers over family-class and economic class immigrants. This has been detrimental to family reunification and is treating new Canadians like second-class citizens. The New Democrats not only opposed this bill and want to repeal it, we have a plan to make family reunification easier, recognize foreign credentials, and provide training and bridging programs for those who need to upgrade or need new credentials altogether. Not only have the New Democrats consistently stood up in Parliament for this kind of immigration fairness, we’re the only party that has allocated funds to these priorities to make sure the services and new programs we are promising will actually be delivered.

Ending the war in Afghanistan

People confirm what Liberal incumbent Jim Karygiannis said in his own survey back in February:

Seventy-four percent believe we should not extent [sic] the Canadian combat mission beyond 2009

And yet Mr. Karygiannis voted to extend the war.

A vast majority of residents here are against this war. The recent news of a British brigadier-general saying the war cannot be won only confirmed what residents have been saying here for years. The news today of the overspending on a mission that will now cost up to $18.1 billion ($1500 per Canadian household) now adds another dimension on top of the moral and practical reasons why this mission needs to end.

People see the war as inflaming terrorism in Afghanistan, as confirmed by the Toronto Star’s Thomas Walkom: “In three southern provinces, including Kandahar, terrorist attacks have increased more than 10-fold since 2002. In Kabul and surrounding areas, they have more than tripled” (August 18, 2008). In a riding concerned with safety, residents can’t see why Liberals and Conservatives are continuing a mission that is making Afghanistan less safe.

Poverty is also an issue: “A recent UN report says general indicators such as human development and poverty have worsened [in Afghanistan] since 2004″ (Rick Salutin, Globe and Mail, February 22, 2008). In a riding with 9.2% unemployment (even higher youth unemployment) and more than its fair share of poverty, families can’t understand why they’re being asked to pay $1500 each for a mission that’s increasing poverty overseas and adding to their own economic insecurity at home.

Finding an alternative in the New Democrats

For every vote Jim Karygiannis received last election, another voter stayed home and didn’t cast their ballot. Many people are turning away from Mr. Karygiannis because they believed in the Liberal brand; either Trudeau’s “just society” or Pearson’s commitment to peacekeeping. By abandoning the former with passing Bill C-50 and abandoning the latter with extending the war, people are looking for alternatives. There is a massive anti-Karygiannis constituency that is waiting to hear more about the alternatives so they know what they’re voting for.

With his visibility in the riding (signs and literature), many people were considering Dr. Benson Lau (Conservative) as that alternative. With his medical credentials, many assumed he’d stand up for health care. But after people realized that Stephen Harper’s last job with the National Citizens Coalition included the goal of dismantling universal health care, they began to ask how a doctor can stand up for health care with Harper as his boss. They also don’t understand how Dr. Lau, having immigrated to Canada, could support a party that introduced Bill C-50.

When residents realize the predecessor of the New Democrats (Cooperative Commonwealth Federation) was the party that brought universal health care to Canada on 17 consecutive balanced budgets and that the NDP was the only federal party to stand united against Bill C-50, many anti-Karygiannis voters who were thinking of voting Conservative are changing their intentions and trusting the New Democrats to deliver social justice, peace, and economic security. At a recent debate, one resident (Sharon Adams) echoed what many others have been telling me when she said, “I came to the debate tonight thinking I would vote Conservative to try and get rid of our incumbent, but that would be a wasted vote.” She was later quoted in the Scarborough Mirror which reported: The evening confirmed her leanings toward casting a vote for Dougherty, who Adams noted “was able to hold his own and seemed to know his facts” (October 8, 2008).

After Britain general Mark Carleton-Smith coming out to say the war in Afghanistan could not be won and thought reducing the insurgency level so the Afghan army could take over, it’s now the U.N.’s turn (français).  Kai Eide’s,  U.N. special envoy to Afghanistan says:  “The war in Afghanistan cannot be won militarily and success is only possible through political means including dialogue between all relevant parties”

Diplomacy as a foreign policy tool has been out of the question since Harper and Bush are there.  Peter Mackay says it’s out of the question to leave the country and then negotiate and says it’s up to the Afghan government to negotiate.  But we have to remember that, it’s not because Canadian soldiers leave that there is no occidental army left in Afghanistan.  The U.S. has 33 000 soldiers there and Nato countries have plenty of men there too. 

It gives Jack Layton munitions because we know how Canadians have always been more comfortable with a Canadian army acting as peacekeepers in the U.N.  that in a war mission with NATO.  So the U.N. message is likely to get echo throughout the Canadian voters.

All Layton needs now is the Kevin Page report on the cost of the Afghan mission to come out before the 14th as it was planned and he could get a part of the anti-war greens to come to the NDP.

Dans Vaudreuil-Soulanges, Bachand révèle sa vraie personnalité.  C’est un conservateur.  Les Québécois vont s’en rappeler lors des prochaines élections québécoises. Nous devrons saigner Bachand aux prochaines élections bien sûr électoralement puisque chacun a le droit à ses opinions, mais personnellement j’espère qu’il va payer pour son erreur.

Dans cyberpresse, on pousse les consevateurs comme on peut mais Fortier ne passera pas, il est loin derrière.  Voici ce que Bachand dit dans les médias conservateurs :

“Dans le domaine économique, M. Bachand a affirmé que son homologue fédéral a aussi joué un rôle prépondérant pour qu’Ottawa délie les cordons de la bourse afin de continuer le développement dans l’aérospatiale (investissements chez Pratt & Whitney et pour la CSeries de Bombardier à Mirabel, et les retombées des contrats militaires au Québec). ”

Et voici pourquoi je dit média conservateur.

Dear Peter Kent:

Given your position on the Board of the far-right “Canadian Coalition for Democracies”:

1) Do you support the CCD’s lobbying for diplomatic and economic ties with the Indian state of Gujurat, where rioters, with government complicity, murdered, raped and dispossessed tens of thousands of Muslims, and where schoolchildren are taught to admire Adolf Hitler?

2) Did you endorse the CCD’s position in favour of firing Supreme Court of Canada Chief Justice Beverley McLachlin, for chairing a meeting that awarded an Order of Canada to Dr. Henry Morgentaler?

3) Do you believe, with the CCD, that “many” Members of Parliament are “apologists for terrorists who celebrate the killing and maiming of men, women, and children?”

4) If yes, who are these Parliamentarians?

5) Do you endorse the smearing of David Suzuki by your president, Alistair Gordon, and his irresponsible retailing of the anti-environmentalist lie that a DDT ban killed millions in sub-Saharan Africa?

6) As a member of the CCD Board, what role did you play in the attempted character assassination of Liberal MP Omar Alghabra in 2005–for which your organization later had to apologize and retract?

7) Do you believe, with your colleague David Harris, that Muslim terrorists have infiltrated the FBI and CIA, the State Department, the U.S. Muslim military chaplain corps, the White House, Homeland Security, the U.S. Air Force, Guantanamo, and the Federal Bureau of Prisons–and in Canada, the Ontario Human Rights Commission and the Quebec NDP?

8 ) Do you take the view, as your colleague Salim Mansour does, that Canada should walk out of the UN?

9) Do you believe that veiled Muslim women at the polls might be engaging in criminal acts including suicide bombing, as a CCD press release suggests? (Are you aware that the current provisions of the Canada Elections Act permit such women to vote without unveiling, so long as they are not relying on photo ID as proof of identity?)

10) Do you support the bombing of Iran, like your colleague David Harris?

New Book – The Harper Record – Available Online

Just out in time for this election and available FREE online, The Harper Record, edited by my trusted friend Teresa Healy.

Here’s the summary from the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives:

This book is one in a series of CCPA publications that have examined the records of Canadian federal governments during the duration of their tenure. As with earlier CCPA reports on the activities of previous governments while in office, this book gives a detailed account of the laws, policies, regulations, and initiatives of the Conservative minority government under Prime Minister Stephen Harper during its 32-month term from January 2006 to September 2008.

The 47 writers, researchers and analysts who have co-written this book probe into every aspect of the Harper minority government’s administration. From the economy to the environment, from social programs to foreign policy, from health care to tax cuts, from the Afghanistan mission to the tar sands, from free trade to deep integration, and to many other areas of this government’s record, the authors have dug out the facts and analyzed them.

The Harper Record was necessarily researched and written long before an election was called, but its publication does coincide with an election campaign and thus may help citizens to make informed choices about the future of their country. Regardless of the election outcome, its contents will continue to be relevant between elections. In detailing what a minority Conservative government really did, or failed to do, it may serve as a guide and model for future elections.

Jeremy Hinzman allowed to stay in Canada

For now. And that’s great, I feel for them and I don’t think he should be deported.

But I would really appreciate it if the government would stop trying to send my talented and hardworking friends from Rwanda and Iraq back where they came from as well.

 Earlier today, another blogger commented that none of the leaders will address immigration out of fear of public backlash.

Yeah… it’s time everyone got over that fear. This immigration system is something we need to deal with now.

Afghan mission cost coming, but when ?

Finally, Harper accepted to release the price of the Afghan war mission.  No date has been set yet, everyone is just waiting for the numbers.  Will they be higher than the conservatives estimates ?  Media have been really quite on this issue.  Some don’t even say the release date is unknown and just end the article with “Harper said he accepted to release the information”.  Come on bring the numbers !

War in Afghanistan, the bill please

This is a follow up to my last post.  The question of Afghanistan came even sooner than I thought.  The Information came out from Kevin Page, the parliament’s budget officer that he holds the bill, he has the numbers and all he needs is all-party consent to release it.  Opposition parties all want the information released, Layton even wrote a letter to Harper demanding the numbers.

Canadians have the right to know how much taxpayer money is going to the army.  Now we must remember that Canadians are in majority against that war and for a number of people, that money could have been better invested elsewhere, in our health care, education, public transport, etc.  This is why this issue will be a major shift in the campaign.  The conservatives will probably drop in the polls on that one, especially if the bill is higher than the 8 billion $ the they predicted. All eyes are now on Harper to see his reaction.

Also, interesting point too, even though this is a major issue, Google news french Canada has only one article on it and doesn’t even have the canadian press french version as I write.


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