2008 CANADA ELECTION

14 October 2008

SEAT PROJECTIONS & RIDING DISCUSSION -- SELECT PROVINCE/TERRITORY OR RIDING

VANCOUVER-QUADRA

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2008 CANDIDATES

INCUMBENT
DEBORAH MEREDITH JOYCE MURRAY DAVID
CAPLAN
DANIEL
GRICE
NORRIS
BARENS

VANCOUVER QUADRA
2008 BYELECTION RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Joyce Murray 10155 36.1%
Deborah Meredith 10004 35.5%
Rebecca Coad 4064 14.4%
Dan Grice 3792 13.5%
John Turner 111 0.4%
Psamuel Frank 40 0.1%

VANCOUVER QUADRA
2006 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Stephen Owen 28655 49.14%
Stephen Rogers 16844 28.89%
David Askew 9379 16.08%
Ben West 2974 5.1%
Betty Krawczyk 263 0.45%
Marc Boyer 158 0.27%
Donovan Young 41 0.07%

VANCOUVER QUADRA
2004 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Stephen Owen 29187 52.43%
Stephen Rogers 14648 26.31%
David Askew 8348 15.01%
Doug Warkentin 3118 5.61%
Connie Fogal 165 0.3%
Katrina Chowne 151 0.27%
Donovan Young 48 0.09%

VANCOUVER / NORTHERN LOWER MAINLAND ARTICLES
Vancouver Centre: zzzzzzz (Posted 23 months ago)
North Vancouver (Posted 23 months ago)
Vancouver Kingsway: the colours (Posted 23 months ago)
Vancouver Centre: fence sitters seek polling numbers (Posted 23 months ago)
Some North Shore Thoughts… (Posted 23 months ago)
Where? Down in my heart (Posted 23 months ago)
Libby phoque major (Posted 23 months ago)
Michael Byers: The Tar Sands (Posted 23 months ago)
So I leave BC for a few days… (Posted 23 months ago)
Surrey Begs For Election Handouts (Posted 23 months ago)
Apparition sighted at Nelson Park (Posted 23 months ago)
What are the chances of an NDP victory in West Van – Sunshine Coast – STSC? (Posted 24 months ago)
On North Shore Election Signs… (Posted 24 months ago)
A Legacy in West Vancouver – Sea to Sky? (Posted 24 months ago)
The Cities’ Choice (Posted 24 months ago)
Vancouver Centre: another bumpy ride (Posted 24 months ago)

10 Responses for "VANCOUVER-QUADRA"

  1. Paul B September 17th, 2008 at 9:04 am 1

    I hope Deborah Meredith takes this riding from the smug Liberal candidate.

  2. Sylvain Lapointe September 19th, 2008 at 9:28 am 2

    Look for Deborah Meredith to send Joyce Murray home on Ocotber 14th…..

  3. David September 19th, 2008 at 8:49 pm 3

    This will be an interesting race: two Conservative women competing, but only one true-blue. I’ll bet on Deborah Meredith in a replay of the recent byelection, but this time a knock-out.

  4. J.A. Prufrock September 22nd, 2008 at 7:39 pm 4

    The Liberals’ dismal polling numbers in B.C. and their habit of underperforming vis-a-vis the polls on election day leads me to believe that few, if any, Liberals are safe this time around. Unless there’s a dramatic improvement in Liberal fortunes in the next few weeks, this one is a toss-up for sure.

  5. southernontarioan September 23rd, 2008 at 12:28 pm 5

    Two things:

    Few people thought this one would even be close during the by-election. So the fact that Meredith has come so close means that both parties are probably pouring resources into this riding.

    Second thing is during the by-election there was very low turnout by the university crowd. With university in full throttle now that will be different.

  6. sirmackbowell October 1st, 2008 at 12:51 am 6

    I have lived in Quadra for most of my life and I do not think you can prognosticate the victor based solely on by-election results. By-elections are one-offs with significantly lower turnouts than general elections. Only half as many voters turned out for the by-election as they did the 2006 general in Quadra.

    Quadra is a safe liberal seat which is why Turner ran here in 1984. Although the riding is probably best known for its affluent district it is important to remember that many studnet salso live in the riding as well as the Musqueam Indian reserve. 2 fractors in Murray’s favour. In addition one-third of the riding is of chinese descent which I think generally favours the Grits. In addition I think Quadra is one of those ridings where strategic voting may come into play. Greens and Dippers know their candidate does not have a snowball’s chance in Hell of making it and so if it looks like a Tory majority they may melt away to the Grits.

    I definately think this riding is too close to call witht he Liberals as slight favourites.

    As for other Liberals seats I think people are quite right to say that there are few if any safe ones. Still, I think Don Bell will get re-elected due to his popularity as will Keith Martin. The only truly safe Grit seat at this point looks to be Vancouver South with Ujjal.

  7. Todd October 2nd, 2008 at 1:52 pm 7

    I’m an NDP’er who has ventured out of the safe confines of Libby Davies’ realm and realize that my vote is better spent in Quadra in support of the Liberals.

  8. sirmackbowell October 3rd, 2008 at 3:18 pm 8

    Todd wrote: “I’m an NDP’er who has ventured out of the safe confines of Libby Davies’ realm and realize that my vote is better spent in Quadra in support of the Liberals.”

    Not necessarily true. Now, with government financing of political parties a vote-even for a losing or non-competitive candidate-brings with it a monetary value which I believe is approximately 2$ per annum.

  9. Jordan October 4th, 2008 at 2:47 pm 9

    I think Murray will retain.

  10. Ben October 8th, 2008 at 9:59 pm 10

    I wish people would stop arguing against strategic voting by saying that a vote is worth $2 a year, which is like a cup of coffee every 365 days.

    If you want to support the party you love, make a $20 donation to cover the next decade, and then vote the way that makes sense in your riding.


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