2008 CANADA ELECTION

14 October 2008

SEAT PROJECTIONS & RIDING DISCUSSION -- SELECT PROVINCE/TERRITORY OR RIDING

AVALON

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2008 CANDIDATES

INCUMBENT
FABIAN MANNING SCOTT ANDREWS RANDY
DAWE
DAVID AYLWARD

AVALON
2006 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
Fabian Manning 19132 51.55%
Bill Morrow 14318 38.58%
Eugene Conway 3365 9.07%
Shannon Hillier 297 0.8%

AVALON
2004 RESULTS

Candidate Party Vote Count Vote Share
R. John Efford 18335 58.3%
Rick Dalton 9211 29.3%
Michael Kehoe 3450 11%
Don C. Ferguson 430 1.4%

ATLANTIC CANADA ARTICLES
Star wants democracy only for some (Posted 17 months ago)
Saint John (Posted 17 months ago)
Fredericton (Posted 17 months ago)
Tobique-Mactaquac (Posted 17 months ago)
Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe (Posted 17 months ago)
Conservateurs : est-ce que Stephen Harper devra répondre de ses actes? (Posted 17 months ago)
Fundy Royal (Posted 17 months ago)
Beauséjour (Posted 17 months ago)
Le bilinguisme canadien : deux poids, deux mesures, selon Duceppe (Posted 17 months ago)
Steve Murphy, Conservative Partisan? (Posted 17 months ago)
Madawaska-Restigouche (Posted 17 months ago)
CAW Atlantic endorses Elizabeth May (Posted 17 months ago)
New Brunswick Southwest (Posted 17 months ago)
Dion-May deal called into question:part 2 (Posted 17 months ago)
Miramichi (Posted 17 months ago)
Strategic voting is anything but strategic (Posted 17 months ago)
Acadie-Bathurst (Posted 17 months ago)
The Spinks Election Night Predictor for N.B. (patent pending) (Posted 17 months ago)
Finally: Substance over sound bites (Posted 18 months ago)
What causes low voter turnout? (Posted 18 months ago)
Where’s my MP? (Posted 18 months ago)
Le NPD comme opposition officielle? (Posted 18 months ago)
Michael Byers: The Tar Sands (Posted 18 months ago)
Quotable quotes (Posted 18 months ago)
Wither the Liberal, NDP and Green blogs? (Posted 18 months ago)
Cadre Parties vs. Mass Parties: Do voters know the difference? (Posted 18 months ago)
Battleground Ridings: Where the Election Will be Won (Posted 18 months ago)
Nova Scotia Riding Profiles: South Shore-St. Margaret’s (Posted 18 months ago)
Going coastal (Posted 18 months ago)
How would Afghanistan vote? (Posted 18 months ago)
Saint John, and the advantages of incumbency (Posted 18 months ago)
Charlottetown Liberal endorses NDP climate plan (Posted 18 months ago)
The race in New Brunswick (Posted 18 months ago)
Nova Scotians Love Their Incumbents… (Posted 18 months ago)

11 Responses for "AVALON"

  1. Nick J Boragina September 14th, 2008 at 3:56 am 1

    You are right that if the tories win a NL seat, this will be it, but its still an if. I doubt the tories will take any seats in NL personally, especially with Williams leading the charge against them. Manning, however, won this seat with Williams against him last time, and he could well do it again.

  2. Pierre Martin September 27th, 2008 at 7:18 am 2

    I cannot imagine the House of commons with the next John Crosbie/ Scott Andrews!!! This guy can speak and can trully represent the values of the Island!!! I still believe that with a good debate from Dion, Scott would win this seat!

  3. Frank September 27th, 2008 at 2:14 pm 3

    I to beleive that the ABC campaign will result in Manning going down on election night. From what I have read Andrews would be a controversial member and very popular in NL

  4. Phonse September 29th, 2008 at 10:42 am 4

    The NDP will not be a factor here (their candidate is trying to fill out his bingo card – run for the Canadian Alliance, ‘check’, run for the Reform party, ‘ckeck’, run for the NDP, ‘check’). The Green candidate lives in Alberta.

    Being frank, there is no real threat that the Green Shift will be implemented. The Liberals will not win this election and Dion will be gone by October 15th.

    So in Avalon, the choice is between a government MP who bowed to Stephen Harper and let his constituents down, or a vocal opposition MP in Scott Andrews.

    To me, I’d rather see someone who can bring up our riding’s concerns on a daily basis without fear of the leader’s wrath and someone isn’t afraid to grandstand a little bit to get what we need in Avalon (think Brian Tobin in the Rat Pack, or John Crosbie in the early 80s).

    I’m voting for Andrews.

  5. rdp October 6th, 2008 at 2:19 pm 5

    Any Atlantic canadian who would vote for a man who even suggested they were lazy and had a “defeatest attitude” and then go and break his election promises in the last federal election is “crazy”. A vote for Manning is a vote for Harper!!! ABC

  6. Mike October 8th, 2008 at 2:44 pm 6

    Last weeks poll had Andrews within the margin of error,and it has been all down hill for Manning from there.With the national campaign coming on strong this one is now Andrews to lose. Look out Ottawa, he will be a household within weeks.

  7. Mose Ingram October 9th, 2008 at 5:23 pm 7

    Fabian Manning has to go down to defeat, we cannot let this reform-alliance-Conservative party win a seat in this province. We are not talking about the old and respected Progressive Conservative party here. That party would never have Stephen Harper as its leader.

  8. tony snow October 11th, 2008 at 7:59 am 8

    Some things are just true.People here genuinely feel they cant make it without government help.In fact if you look at the ACOA (Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency) colossal failures here people are wise to feel we cannot make it WITH government help.The system–not the people are flawed here and thats why the pessimistic attitude.

  9. Fern October 11th, 2008 at 4:14 pm 9

    Why isn’t this on the list of ridings where New Democrats should consider voting Liberal? The NDP candidate has NO chance and voting for him is a waste, if your objective is to defeat the Conservatives.

  10. Phonse October 12th, 2008 at 5:34 pm 10

    Fern – to follow up on your post…
    Does NDP Candidate Randy Dawe know that he doesn’t have to run every time there is an election.

    Funny that he’s never run for the same party a second time.

  11. Bryan-Edward Taylor October 12th, 2008 at 9:27 pm 11

    I can’t believe you people. Your actually going to let Danny Williams bully you as to how to vote?

    Harper has been a great Prime Minister, a way better one in two years than Chretien or Martin in thirteen. Harper’s decisive, strong, and not afraid to be unpopular in order to get things done.

    I may not be a Newfoundlander myself, but I have alot of family down there. And I feel that you need MPs who can get things done for you, not Liberals who’s sole purpose is to just get their names in the paper, or NDPers who have no chance to get anything done anywhere.

    Re-elect Fabian Manning. As demonstrated in the past, he’s not affraid to stand up to the bullying tactics of Mr. Williams.


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