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Vancouver Centre: zzzzzzz

Author: John P Egan (Independent)

11 Oct

I spent a good part of today and yesterday running errands in my downtown neighbourhood. On both occasions the only canvassing I saw was for the Greens. In both instances it was a pair of Green supporters. It’s all rather low key.

And low key is the way I would capture this entire campaign. Dunno what it’s like elsewhere in Soviet Canuckistan, but out here there’s alot of election fatigue. Going back to 2004

2004 Federal election
2004 Municipal election
2005 Provincial election
2006 Federal election
2008 Federal election (Oct)
2008 Provincial by-election (Oct)
2008 Municipal election (Nov)
2009 Provincial election (May)

So here in Vancouver’s West End that’ll be 8 elections in 5 years–and 3 in a period of about 6 weeks this year. Even for us political nerds it’s hard to get too enervated by it all.

At the ballot box those sentiments could pan out in a number of ways. Many fence sitters might decide to stay home instead. Some will snark vote: either vote for the Tories to give someone a majority and to get some peace, or do the Anything But Harper schtick and try to support the local candidate best positioned to keep the Cons out. And there’s always the FYou vote, which in BC was NDP for a long time, then Reform/Alliance, but now seems splintered between the Dippers and Greens. Though I expect a lot of Greens will split towards the Liberal or New Democrat who can win in their consituency.

Vancouver Centre–OK I’ll call it. Michael Byers squeaks out a <1, 000 vote plurality over Hedy.

Unless she romps it again….

Filed under: British Columbia, Green, John P Egan (Independent), Local Campaigns, NDP, Vancouver / North Lower Mainland

3 Responses for "Vancouver Centre: zzzzzzz"

Paul B October 11th, 2008 at 1:41 pm 1
A Greenie who asked me if I wanted to vote Green was given a “you guys are telling people to vote Liberal arent you?” lashing from me this afternoon. Add to that my “Harper for PM” b*tchslap as I walked off.

Is Hedy still alive?
J.A. Prufrock October 11th, 2008 at 2:19 pm 2
Hedy’s going to win by 2,500 votes. Byers second, Mayencourt third, Carr a distant fourth.
macadavy October 12th, 2008 at 9:52 am 3
VanCtr will be a squeaker, John. See manesso and my comments over at your demspace post: “Fence sitters seek polling numbers”.
As I noted there, the New Democrats tend to turn out their vote better than any others and I think that will give Michael Byers a narrow victory.

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