2008 CANADA ELECTION
14 October 2008
SEAT PROJECTIONS & RIDING DISCUSSION -- SELECT PROVINCE/TERRITORY OR RIDING
Filed under: Polling, Stephen Gordon (Non-Partisan)
Tracking the tracking polls: Nanos becomes less of an outlier
Author: Stephen Gordon (Non-Partisan)25 Sep
In my previous post – all of two days ago – I noted that Nanos was consistently publishing estimates for Liberal support that were much higher than the other polling firms: more than what could plausibly attributed to sampling error.
But that was two days ago. Since then, Nanos has joined the crowd (click on the graph for a full-sized version):
What’s going on?
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3 Responses for "Tracking the tracking polls: Nanos becomes less of an outlier"
the Liberals are in deep trouble. AFAIK they’ve never been below 22. They could do that by tomorrow morning.
Nik did show his poll from Kingston and the Islands which had the Conservative (Brian Abrams) beating the speaker of the house -Liberal Peter Milliken.Nik had Abrams at 40 percent and Milliken at 29 percent. Nik got his start predicting Milliken’s victory over Flora MacDonald in ‘88. Is it happening again? Nanos poll shows that it is.
Oh, yeah. And as a Liberal, in Quebec, it’s an awesome thing to watch the numbers plunge in Ontario and BC.
Folks, it no longer matters WHAT happens in Quebec. Harper could just take 10 or so seats out of Quebec and still get a majority, if the trends in Ontario and BC hold up.
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