14 October 2008
14 Sep
This election is already a week in the bag, but the candidates in Hamilton have been slugging it out for a while. A quick snap shot of the city: Niagara West Glanbrook A rural riding, and since re-distribution, a Tory stronghold. Dean Allison has been nearly omni-present in the riding since his victory in 2004 and shows no signs of stopping. Put this one solidly in the Conservative fold.  Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale Hamilton’s other rural riding and once again, a virtual Tory stronghold. The more urban area’s of Westdale, which is home to McMaster University, should be a toss-up for the NDP and Liberals, but the rural areas of the riding are key, and should reward Tory incumbent David Sweet once again. Hamilton Centre Another stronghold, but this time, and NDP stronghold. Hamilton Centre is perhaps tied with Windsor West as the safest NDP seat in Ontario. Another Christopherson victory in the works. But, this is where the easy predictions stop and the real fights begin…. Hamilton East – Stoney CreekIn this riding, we have Wayne Marston, who eeked out a narrow victory over Tony Valeri in 2006 and is hoping to retain the seat. His only problem is that he is facing off against former Hamilton mayor Larry Di Ianni, who by all accounts has a strong organization behind him and is ready to do battle against the local NDPers. This one will be a nail biter come election night. Hamilton Mountain Another nail-biter. Here we have NDP incumbent Chris Charlton facing a strong challenge from local employment lawyer Tyler Banham. From the first week, it seems clear that Banham has the edge organizationally and is winning the sign war. Once again, a riding to watch and a real battle shaping up.   Â

Conservative Party
Liberal Party
New Democratic Party
Bloc Québécois
Green Party
Christian Heritage
Progressive Canadian
Marijuana Party
Marxist-Leninist Party
Canadian Action Party
Communist Party
Libertarian Party
First Peoples Party
Western Block Party
Animal Alliance Party
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6 Responses for "Hamilton: A Quick Snap Shot"
Its interesting to note, upon reading of Di Ianni’s website, and specifically his blog, how we pushes himself as an educator and almost an environmentalist. However, in his mayoral campaign, he was routinely portrayed as a leader for business hamilton (which he followed up with serious tax reductions), and one who would revitalise the downtown core. He went up against David Christopherson who was the environmentalist in what became to be, not an election, but a referendum on the red hill creek expressway. I really hope the residents remember him that way and as well as the first Ontario Mayor to violate the Municipal Elections Act for his fundraising violations, not as the social activist he is trying to represent himself as.
Additionally, I was formerly a resident of the Hamilton Mountain and the liberals always seemed to have the sign edge. I believe it’s because they tend to dominate the more middle class areas along the major roads. Mohawk rd, almost always seemed to represent itself as a major liberal stronghold. However, when the ridings were re-mapped, it gave more of an importance to the East Mountain, and they lost much of the upper west mountain, a liberal stronghold.
For Hamilton I must say Marston is in trouble. It’s going to be another nail biter. DiAnni despite being hated by many, has a strong and very loyal base in East Hamilton and parts of Stoney Creek.
As far as the Mountain I think it will be a close three way race with Charlton down to third. She managed to bring in a number of new voters during the 2006 campaign, however, she has been largely invisible in the riding and I doubt many of her new converts will show up. Meanwhile Tyler Banham has his sights set squarely on Charlton and is preaching to her sort of people. But coming in behind him is Terry Anderson for the Conservatives, a surprisingly (to me at least) popular former councilor. His campaign got off to a slow start but the signs seem to be sprouting everywhere south of Mohawk now. I’ve never seen this much support for a Conservative in this riding before. Then again till 2004 the alliance/reform and PC we’re always trading places for 2nd and 3rd with the NDP as a distant 4th. So anything could happen. Either way, close race.
Marston has made a difference for many East-Hamilton residents. Here’s hoping they will spread the word. I can’t say I like the idea of DiIanni running in this riding, ’cause it seems to be more about “the machine” than the man himself. I think Marston more closely represents the majority of people in this part of town than his opponents.
Don’t be too quick to award David Sweet another term. His performance on the Hill has been nothing but embarrassing, (no need to list his accomplishments as there are none), and like all conservative candidates in this race will be limited in talking about anything substantive.
Voters who see the conservative “fundamentalist shift” for what it is have real choices to make change and begin to deal with actual issues that concern Canadians in this riding. Let’s hope that the candidates come out of hiding soon, debate one another and give voters the chance to unite behind one party that can put the reform party back where it ought to be. Splitting the vote will only serve to put Stephen Harper and his cronies back in power to serve their cronies (not us) for another term.
The best Liberal organization in the city is with Tyler Banham’s campaign. And he is winning the sign war by far in the riding.
In HESC, it is much closer -there are many more CONS signs than ever before, however this is a race between Marston and Di Ianni – right now, Marston has the lead and Di Ianni’s team still needs to get revved up.
The NDP are a lock in Hamilton Centre.
ADFW and NWG will go Conservative. No doubt about that.
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