Alberta 2008

3 March 2008

Seat Projections

HOW IT WORKS
The unique DemocraticSPACE regional projection model makes estimates of support based on aggregate poll data, making it the most detailed projection available. While the model has averaged a 94% accuracy in allocating votes, it is important to recognize that many ridings are too close for projection models to accurately project. For a detailed explanation of how the model works (using a federal election example), please click HERE (146kb PDF).

BASED ON ROLLING 5-POLL AVERAGE

DATE 1
04 FEB 08 2 62 16 4 1 0

NOTES
1 Date is the last day that the poll was taken. Often polls are embargoed for several days or even weeks until their release date.
2 These updates are “straight-line” projections, not accounting for regional variation or candidates. Readers should use caution when interpreting these results.

One Response for "Seat Projections"

  1. DemocraticSPACE Launches Alberta 2008 Coverage February 13th, 2008 at 5:49 pm 1

    […] start up a conversation on the issues and riding-by-riding discussion forums, check out our latest seat projections, take a look at the latest polls, or peruse the latest […]


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